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Wednesday, July 31, 2013

STI Singapore Stock Market Outlook 01-Aug 2013

Market Reviews:
STI index's opening gain was in line with similar bounces in Hong Kong, Japan and Europe's opening, possibly as traders sought to position themselves ahead of the US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting yesterday and today, and the US jobs report on Friday.

STI opens lower @ 3242.45 and then it made day low 3226.45, and then recovers from that lower level and made day high @ 3246.94. Finally closed @ 3221.93 lowest level of the day with loss of 23.52 points down by 0.72%.

According to the Ministry of Manpower Unemployment rate in Singapore jumped to 2.1%.Preliminary estimates show that the seasonally adjusted overall unemployment rate was 2.1% in June 2013, up from 1.9% in March 2013 and 1.8% in December 2012.

Market forecast:
STI trading below its up slopping supports line; today it traded lower levels and closed just near to support of 3220.

STI forming candlestick pattern called Black Marubozu pattern a characterized by a long black body, having no shadows on either end and with an extremely strong bearish candlestick pattern. Black marubozu shows that the prices moved down all day long after the opening and the day closing at its lowest level.

The black marubozu pattern has low reliability.Reflecting only one day’s trade with a potential to signal both continuation and reversal, it must be used with other candlesticks for the confirmation of a trend.

As we can see on daily chart STI formed a pattern which replicate like rising wedge and as per the pattern if STI maintain above its up sloping resistance line i.e. 3270 mark then we can see more upside move in the Index, and for other side if STI breached its up sloping support line @ 3230 mark then next support will come @ 3180 level and after that we can see bearish move in market.

Support:
STI having immediate support @ 3210 level and below this level it can take support @3195-3180 will be the support zone for STI.

Resistance:
STI having immediate Resistance @3250 and above this level it may take resistance @ 3265-3280 levels.

Technical indicators:
Technical indicators MACD turn to bearish , its 14-day RSI is in recovering mode and closed @ 55.604 and CCI recovers again and trading @ 61.71



 
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