Singapore & Malaysia Stock Market Forecast for Next Week

Weekly wrap of STI:

STI Share prices opened lower in early trading session with STI down 6.71 points to 3271.86. Performance for this week maintained an uptrend and formed a rounded bottom pattern with previous week’s candlesticks. 

STI Day Performance
Open	3262.17
High	3279.37
Low	3254.26
Close	3271.05
Change(Points)	12.25
% Change	0.37%
Volume	1539.3M
Rise	182
Fall	188
Unch	724

Market Forecast for week ahead:

This whole week prices formed a white spinning top and today’s price formed long legged Doji in red market, both the candlestick’s pattern signal indecision. Unexpected price movements may happen.

Support 1	Support 2	Support 3	Resistance 1	Resistance 2	Resistance 3
3220	3180	3160	3310	3350	3382

Technical Indicators:

RSI stood at 59.041 with CCI at 60.542. And difference line of MACD (38.544) is above its signal line (31.518).

Macroeconomic factors:

• Singapore’s Manufacturing Sector has slipped to 2.5% in May due to drops in both the electronics and biomedical manufacturing clusters.
• SGX announced proposals for a new regulatory framework for global companies to seek a secondary listing.
• Singapore’s state government signed a protocol agreement with Russia to continue expanding cooperation between Singapore and St Petersburg in sectors viz transport, science parks, urban planning, e-government and training programmes.
• Singapore's gold futures contract on SGX to start trading September 2014.
• Singapore’s inflation rose to 2.7% in May.

Weekly wrap of KLCI:

Malaysian share prices opened on a mixed note today with KLCI down 0.63 points to 1889.34. Continued to trade lower in mid-morning weighed by losses in Public Bank and PETRONAS linked companies. Malaysia ranked 7th top FDI recipient in Asia on the scale of investments in manufacturing, services and primary sectors in 2013.

FBMKLCI Day Performance
Open	1884.74
High	1892.33
Low	1880.25
Close	1880.93
Change(Points)	-4.79
% Change	-0.25%
Volume	1644.1M
Rise	371
Fall	393
Unch	1448

KLCI performed a range bound traded session this whole week but quite well from previous week. Today, it opened at 1884.74, performed within a range of 12 points. Prices went down as sellers dominated buyers and closed at 1880.93 points. Market has been in a consolidated phase this week. From the perspective of whole week, KLCI performed low on an account of previous 2 week price movements. A weekly chart showed that KLCI focused on lower price movements and made an inverted hammer pattern with along uptrend which anticipates bearish reversal.

Market Forecast for week ahead:

After performing a sideway price movements in the whole week, a long red candle was formed for the day ending. We may expect a fall in prices of KLCI stocks which leads to make a downtrend for KLCI next week.

Support 1	Support 2	Support 3	Resistance 1	Resistance 2	Resistance 3
1868	1850	1840	1889	1892	1900

Technical indicators:

RSI for this week is 62.139 with CCI at 109.413. Besides, difference line of MACD (18.655) stood above its signal line (18.154).

SGX | Malaysia Stock Market Overview for 26 June

Market Review for STI:
Share prices opened higher today with STI 5.16 up points to 3266.70. Prices closed at the level of 3265.78 which covered half of the previous upper shadow. Asian stocks rose as investors watch for US recovery.

STI Day Performance
Open	3266.70
High	3279.37
Low	3265.78
Close	3278.57
Change(Points)	17.030
% Change	0.52%
Volume	1745.5M
Rise	216
Fall	160
Unch	717

Market forecast for STI:
A long green candle is formed for the day followed by an inverted umbrella. Last six trading session candles formed a small rounded bottom pattern. For the next movement, it is expected that prices may go up.
Technical indicators:
RSI stood below the centre line at 52.858 with its CCI at-48.534. Difference line of MACD performed at 0.063 which lied below its signal line which performed at 4.158.

STI LEVELS
Support 1	3255
Support 2	3245
Support 3	3230
Resistance 1	3289
Resistance 2	3299
Resistance 3	3314

Important Factor for today:-

• Singapore launches three residential sites for sale in June 2014 under H1 Government Land Sales Programme by the Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA) and Housing & Development Board (HDB).
• Ascendas Real Estate Investment Trust sees net income yield of 6.98% from purchasing of Hyflux Innovation Centre for S$170 million in the first year.
• GSH Corporation will undergo a sell and purchase agreement with Keppel Land and its fund management partners to buy Equity Plaza for S$550 million.
• Wilmar International has closed the deal to buy Huntsman Corporation’s European commodity surfactants business.
• Hyflux international has signed a MOU with Banco Interacciones to collaboration water projects in Mexico.
• Air India became a member of Star Alliance, benefits and privileges could be seen from July 11 onwards.

Top Gainers			Top Losers
Scrip Name	CMP	%change	Scrip Name	CMP	%change
JMH 400 USD	60.77	1.69	Golden Agri-Res	0.565	-0.88
CapitaMall Trust	1.99	1.53	CapitaLand	3.2	-0.31
JSH 500 USD	37.02	1.48	Jardine C&C	43.85	0.02
Noble	1.38	1.47	SIA	10.36	0.1
SPH	4.21	0.96	SGX	6.92	0.14

Market Review for KLCI:
Malaysian share prices opened at mixed note near to previous close with KLCI down 0.81 points to 1888.74. Manufacture sector could support the momentum of Malaysia’s business environment in the 2H 2014.

KLCI Day Performance
Open	1888.74
High	1889.97
Low	1882.25
Close	1889.97
Change(Points)	0.420
% Change	0.02%
Volume	1420.8M
Rise	387
Fall	414
Unch	1410

Market forecast for KLCI:
Share prices opened at 1889.740 and closed at 1889.970 by making a low of 1882.250. A green body is formed having a long lower shadow which made a hanging man pattern in long uptrend, signalling a bearish reversal. It is expected that market may fall down.

KLCI LEVELS
Support 1	1872
Support 2	1862
Support 3	1847
Resistance 1	1899
Resistance 2	1909
Resistance 3	1924

Technical indicators:
RSI stood below the centre line at 61.968 with its CCI at 128.86. Difference line of MACD performed at 5.514 which lied above its signal line which performed at 3.978.

Top Gainers			Top Losers
Scrip Name	CMP	%change	Scrip Name	CMP	%change
PPB	15.08	1.89	KLCC	6.39	-0.93
PETDAG	24.6	1.82	IHH	4.35	-0.69
SKPETRO	4.41	1.15	PBBANK	19.9	-0.6
GENTING	10.1	1.1	ASTRO	3.55	-0.56
GENM	4.2	0.48	HLBANK	13.86	-0.29

Singapore Stock Market Technical Analysis

Market Review for STI:
STI made a gap up at 3249.13 in the today’s session, a jump of almost 8 points was noticed at the time of opening. Later it came down and made a low of 3242.39 and closed near to low @ 3245.56.

STI Day Performance
Open	3249.13
High	3250.66
Low	3242.39
Close	3245.56
Change(Points)	3.96
% Change	0.12%
Volume	1242M
Rise	221
Fall	178
Unch	678

Market forecast for STI:
STI formed a red candle for the day. Today it was third continuous day for STI to form Red candle in a line. As it is standing on the major support of 3240. A little consolidation is expected in tomorrow’s session.
Technical indicators:
RSI is just above the centre line the centre line @56.62 Where CCI is @ 19.37

STI LEVELS
Support 1	3235
Support 2	3225
Support 3	3210
Resistance 1	3255
Resistance 2	3265
Resistance 3	3280

Important Factor for today:-

• Purchasing Manager’s Index (PMI) for Singapore increased to 51.1 in April where in March it was 50.8 was in March.
• Singapore Iron Ore Week starts from today to 8th May 2014.
• Singapore Exchange announced that the total traded value of Securities fell from 17% to 25.8 Billion in April where the Commodity trading and the Clearing activity grew on YOY basis.
• Q4 net Profit of SIAEC engineering fall to 1.1% to S$65.2 million.
• Acquisition of 89.18% Stake was made in Natural Gas Business in China from China Print Power, valued to HK$ 515.4 Million.
• Cash earning of S$15.3 million for Q4 ended 31 March 2014 published by CitySpring

Top Gainers			Top Loosers
Scrip Name	CMP	%change	Scrip Name	CMP	%change
Genting Sing	1.345	2.67	SPH	4.14	-1.43
ThaiBev	0.61	1.67	Golden Agri-Res	0.61	-0.81
CityDev	10.89	1.02	HongkongLand USD	6.76	-0.59
UOB	21.61	0.75	Jardine C&C	44.77	-0.4
HPH Trust USD	0.68	0.74	Global Logistic	2.78	-0.36

Market Review for KLCI:
KLCI opened flat today @1860.35 and made a high of 1864.23 where it closed at the same of opening point of 1860.43, low of the day was 1856.85

KLCI Day Performance
Open	1860.35
High	1864.23
Low	1856.85
Close	1860.43
Change(Points)	-0.11
% Change	-0.01
Volume	1467.4M
Rise	460
Fall	273
Unch	1428

Market forecast for KLCI:
A long green Doji candle was formed for the day with a very small body and a long upper and lower shadow for the day. we expect a little correction for tomorrow’s trading session.

KLCI LEVELS
Support 1	1850
Support 2	1840
Support 3	1825
Resistance 1	1870
Resistance 2	1880
Resistance 3	1895

Technical indicators:
RSI is just above the centre line @ 54.20 where the CCI is performing at 26.22

Top Gainers			Top Loosers
Scrip Name	CMP	%change	Scrip Name	CMP	%change
HLBANK	13.84	0.73	BAT	61.2	-1.29
MAXIS	6.97	0.72	ASTRO	3.27	-1.21
FGV	4.54	0.44	PETGAS	23.36	-0.68
SIME	9.48	0.42	PCHEM	6.76	-0.59
IOIPG	2.66	0.38	HLFG	15.02	-0.53

Singapore & Malaysia Stock Market Weekly Review

Weekly Technical view on STI

Weekly wrap of STI:

This was the good week for STI & it made a Green candle for this week continuing the bullish trend of last week as there was a gap up opening of around 8 points in this week.

STI cover the range of 34 points for this week. A spinning top candle was formed for this week and with a short real body. As the whole week was full of Q1 result & dividend distributed by the counters so the bullish trend is expected in the coming week.

Support 1	Support 2	Support 3	Resistance 1	Resistance 2	Resistance 3
3250	3230	3200	3280	3300	3330

Macroeconomic factors:

• Singapore consumer price or inflation rose by 1.2% in March, where food inflation rose by 2.9% & health care inflation by 3.4%
  
• A fall of 22% reported in net profit of Singapore Exchange a net profit of S$ 75.8 million was reported
• Gerard Ee elected as a President of Institute of Singapore Chartered Accountants.
• CapitaMall Asia made a jump of 2.8% to S$75.3 million in Net Profit for 1Q 2014.
• RH Perto Gas Investments proposed sale of 49% Stake in RHP for US $ 2.79Million
• Shares in Catalist listed SHC Capital Asia surged on Monday that it is discussing a sale of its core insurance business

Market Forecast for week ahead:

The market is moving in the uptrend and is supported by the good volume the technical indicators are also positive for the next week. The expected range for the coming week of STI would be 3250- 3300.

In the coming week there will be many counters like MapleTree, ThaiBev,SGX, CapitaMalls Asia, OCBC Bank and many more which will be delivering there dividend so the fundamental will be supportive for the up move of STI.

STRAIT TIMES WEEKLY WRAP
OPEN	3260.78
HIGH	3284.70
LOW	3250.09
CLOSE	3267.57
CHANGE (In Points)	13.77
% CHANGE	0.42 %

Technical Indicators:

Technical Indicators are showing the uptrend where RSI is above the centre line @52.27 else CCI is @ 181.57 which means that there is still a fair move for STI to take upside.

Weekly Technical view on KLCI

Weekly wrap of KLCI:

KLCI opened at 1851.61 for this week, took the uptrend and made a high of 1870.89 and closed at 1860.98 for this week. A green candle was formed for this week. For this week KLCI make a movement of almost 20 points.

A Inverted hammer Pattern was formed for this week with a long real body and a long upper shadow. 20 Days EMA is @1830 where the 50 Days EMA is @ 1792.

Support 1	Support 2	Support 3	Resistance 1	Resistance 2	Resistance 3
1845	1825	1800	1875	1890	1915

Market Forecast for week ahead:

KLCI is performing at its peak and is able to sustain itself form last three week so it can be said that now it is above the crucial level and expected to break the resistance.

Technical Indicators:

Technically KLCI is having a bullish trend on the chart where CCI is @121.03 & RSI is about to enter in the overbought range @62.83

KLCI WEEKLY WRAP
OPEN	1851.61
HIGH	1870.89
LOW	1849.68
CLOSE	1860.98
CHANGE (In Points)	8.29
% CHANGE	0.44 %

STI & KLCI Technical Report for 23rd April

Market Review for STI:
Today STI Opened at 3258.56 and came in a bullish trend after a consolidate move for last three days, it made a high of 3277.53 and closed at the same. It formed a green candle for the day.

STI Day Performance				Open	3258.56
High	3277.53	% Change	0.67%	Close	3277.53
Low	3255.64	Volume	2063.7M	Fall	122
Change(Points)	21.70	Rise	296	Unch	654

Market forecast for STI:
A Green candle with a long real body was formed for the day with a short shadow. After three days of range bound trading today STI made a long candle for the day & take a bullish move. Marubozu pattern was formed for the day. Today STI break the high of 24th July 2013 a high point from last 11 Months, expected to take an up move for the coming sessions.

STRAITS TIME LEVELS
Support 1	3267
Support 2	3255
Support 3	3240
Resistance 1	3288
Resistance 2	3307
Resistance 3	3320

Technical indicators:
RSI is above the centre line @75.36 is about to move in overbought level. Where CCI is @ 149.49.
Important Factor for today:-

• Mapletree Logistics Trust posted 1.89 Sg Cents for its Q4DPU
• Ascendas Reit posted 3.5 Sg Cents for its Q4 DPU where the distributable income was 85.3 Million
• Gerard Ee elected as a President of Institute of Singapore Chartered Accountants.

Market Review for KLCI:
A short green candle was formed for the day where KLCI opened at 1862.90 and made a high of 1866.42 and gave the same closing with a low of 1816.90

KLCI Day Performance				Open	1862.90
High	1866.42	% Change	0.19%	Close	1866.42
Low	1861.90	Volume	2609 M	Fall	404
Change(Points)	3.49	Rise	455	Unch	1289

Market forecast for KLCI:
 After taking a long up move yesterday KLCI maintain itself above the support level of 1850 and now is in an uptrend as a green candle with a little lower shadow was formed for the day. By observing the last three trading session KLCI is now in an uptrend and buyers are more interested now.
Technical indicators:
RSI is above the centre line @64.26 else CCI is @175.54

COMEX Technical Analysis Report

GOLD

Gold climbed higher overnight to open at 1338.00/1339.00. It moved up marginally to a high of 1339.25/1340.25 as the Euro appreciated against the Dollar. The metal then declined to a low of 1333.00/1334.00 as global equities rebounded with the S&P setting a new intra-day high. It traded within range for most of the day to close at 1335.00/1336.00.

Gold had a bearish outside week, closing lower at 1335 and completely retracing last week’s gains. This is a potential reversal warning. The support level to watch is 1312, the 38.2% retracement of the 2014 uptrend. We have been bullish, but would revisit our view should 1312 be broken to the downside. Resistance is at the weekly high of 1392. Gold recovered its losses to settle flat as the dollar edged lower, though the market posted weekly drop following the Fed’s latest meet. An escalation of U.S. sanctions against Russia over the crisis in Crimea kept investors cautious, giving support to gold. SPDR gold trust holding gained by 4.19 tonnes i.e. 0.52% to 816.97 tonnes from 812.78 tonnes.

 SILVER

Silver was relatively unchanged overnight, opening at 20.41/20.46. It rose to a high of 20.45/20.50 before following gold lower to close at the session low of 20.28/20.33.

Silver had a bearish week, closing at 20.28. The metal continues to trade under the downtrend that has been in place since April 2011. Support is at the base of the consolidation that has been in place since June 2013, at the 18.20 level. We are neutral while silver continues to trade within this consolidation range. The gold-silver ratio is trading higher this week at 65.79. It is well supported from the uptrend, which currently comes in at 61.89. Resistance is at the double top in the 67.47 to 67.56 area. Silver remained under pressure as the dollar firmed after the U.S. Federal Reserve hinted at an interest rate hike in the first half of 2015. The central bank said that it would reduce its monthly bond buying program by an additional $10 billion to a total of $55 billion a month. The Fed also updated its forward guidance, discarding the 6.5% unemployment threshold for considering when to increase borrowing costs.

 COPPER

On the week, Comex copper prices ended down 0.02%, as ongoing concerns over the health of China’s economy dampened demand for growth-linked assets.

  Attention now shifts to the release of HSBC’s March China Purchasing Managers’ Index for manufacturing, due Monday. The Asian nation is the world’s largest copper consumer, accounting for almost 40% of world consumption last year. According to the CFTC, net copper shorts totaled 21,965 contracts as of last week, up 24.5% from net shorts of 10,473 in the preceding week. Copper settled flat due to the weak outlook toward Chinese growth and lack of key market movers China’s copper market will see a surplus of 400,000 tons in 2014 through a rise in copper production as imports surpass growth. A stronger RMB which eased concerns over China’s copper demand was also behind the higher copper prices.

 CRUDE

The HSBC data for March showed a drop to 48.1, compared to a forecast of 48.7 expected and to a final of 48.5 for the previous month. A figure below 50 implies contraction with the the latest number part of a string of disappointing China data suggesting a deepening economic slowdown at the start of 2014. “The HSBC Flash China Manufacturing PMI reading for March suggests that China’s growth momentum continued to slow down. Weakness is broadly based with domestic demand softening further,” said HSBC chief China economist Qu Hongbin.

“We expect Beijing to launch a series of policy measures to stabilize growth. Likely options include lowering entry barriers for private investment, targeted spending on subways, air cleaning and public housing, and guiding lending rates lower.” On the New York Mercantile Exchange, light sweet crude futures for delivery in May traded at $99.20 a barrel Crude Oil, down 0.26%. Crude oil settled 0.57% higher, or 56 cents, at $99.46 a barrel, last week on speculation over the fallout from the Ukraine crisis and amid indications the U.S. economy is improving. Investors continued to monitor events in the Ukraine, where tension over moves by neighboring Russia in the Crimean region have underpinned prices. The political standoff between the West and Russia following the annexation of Crimea escalated after the U.S. imposed harsher sanctions on Moscow. The European Union also agreed to wider sanctions against Russia. Crude oil prices stayed weaker in Asia on Monday after the China HSBC Flash Purchasing Managers Index for March unexpectedly fell, placing demand doubts in the market about the world’s second largest crude oil importer. 

Technical Levels

	SUPPORT 1	SUPPORT 2	RESISTANCE 1	RESISTANCE 2
GOLD	1320	1313	1343	1350
SILVER	20.14	20.00	20.42	20.64
COPPER	2.9696	2.9186	3.0206	3.0473
CRUDE	98.39	97.32	100.39	101.32

Global Economic Data

TIME :IST	DATA	PRV	EXP	IMPACT
7.15P.M	Flash Manufacturing PMI	57.1	56.6	MEDIUM

Flash Manufacturing PMI

Source	Markit(latest release)
Measures	Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the manufacturing industry;
Usual Effect	Actual > Forecast = Good for currency;
Frequency	Released monthly, around 3 weeks into the current month;
Next Release	Apr 24, 2014
FF Notes	Data is given to Thomson Reuters subscribers 2 minutes before the public release time listed on the calendar – early market reaction is usually a result of trades made by these subscribers. Above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction. The ‘Previous’ listed is the ‘Actual’ from the Flash release and therefore the ‘History’ data will appear unconnected. There are 2 versions of this report released about a week apart – Flash and Final. The Flash release is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact. Source first released in May 2012;
Why Traders Care	It’s a leading indicator of economic health – businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company’s view of the economy;
Derived Via	Survey of about 600 purchasing managers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories;
Acro Expand	Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI);

STI Singapore Market Forecast 13-Sept

Market Forecast

Markets on recovery mode as from the 1st trading day of the week. STI took support @ its lower trend line around 2980 levels and today STI closed just below the upper down slopping trend line after crossing its 20 day MA level. 

Now from todays move market likely to remain bullish for this week. As we told in our previous report that below STI fall in the downward channel and as it faced resistance @ upper down slopping trend line so expected that it can took support @ the down slopping support line @ 2980 levels.

STI closed above its 50 day MA level @3029.66 , so for next trading session if it will maintain above this level and crossed its 3035-3040 mark which is strong and multiple resistance level for STI than we can expect further bullishness in market. Technical indicators are looking in recovering mode on charts.

Support

STI having nearest support @ 3010 level and below this level it can take support @ 2995-2975 will be the support zone for STI.

Resistance

STI having Resistance @3040 and above this level it may take resistance @ 3060-3080 levels.

SGX Stock Picks, Live Market Updates

S'pore Stock Market Review
Its 3rd continuous day where Singapore market opens higher.STI open for day @ 2853.94 up by 11.53 points.

STI starts with gap up opening @ 2853.98 levels and made day high @2861.53, and after that STI trades in a narrow rand but in the 2nd half ofthe day STI comes slightly down and made day low @ 2844.22 , finally closed near today high @ 2855.68 with gain of 13.27 points up by 0.47%.

Market closed higher for the 4th trading session on the Singapore Exchange, overall volume traded was 1.34 billion shares, with gainers beating losers 205 to 131.

STI Stock for Tomorrow
STI crossed its major resistance of 2850 mark and trades above that level and made high well above that level.

Markets are positive due to investors hope for fresh stimuli drive by the US Federal Reserve to kick-start its economy. So in this week we can expect more upside move in the market.

Market closed near to its 50 day MA level, so we can expect that it will cross this level of 2869.74 in near term and trades above this level.

SGX Stock Support for Tomorrow
STI having nearest support @ 2830 level and below this level it can take support @ 2810-2790 will be the support zone for STI.

SGX Stock market Resistance for Tomorrow
STI having Resistance @2870 and above this level it may take resistance @ 2895-2910 levels.

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Singapore Stock Market Picks for Tomorrow

STI Review of the Day
Singapore equity market opens gap down @ 2766.54. But close near to days high in line with other regional markets.

STI opens down @ 2766.54 and after gap down opening it fell more down and made a low of 2758.41 and took support @ that level and then trades higher and made a day high of 2796.75 and finally closed with gain of 14.47 points up by 0.52% wow basis.

Volume stood at 955.2 million shares valued at S$766.1 million, with advancing issues leading decliners by 178 to 153.

Stock Market for Tomorrow
Day start with bearish sentiments but suddenly change in the bullish mode and made high above the resistance level of 2796.75.

Today STI breached its previous week’s range of 2760-2792 and made low and high for the day beyond these levels and finally closed between the ranges.

STI facing strong resistance @ 2800 mark it not able to crossed this level and fell from near to that level, and took support near to 2760 levels. When it crossed either side then we can see further major move in the market.

STI Support for tomorrow
STI having nearest support @ 2755 level and below this level it can take support @ 2740-2720 will be the support
zone for STI.

STI Resistance
STI having Resistance @2795 and above this level it may take resistance @ 2810-2835 levels.

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Today's STI Review

STI continued its negative rally today also and closed on negative sentiment. Straits Times Index fell 0.3 percent to 2,822.61 at the close.

About three stocks declined for each two that gained. The Straits Times Index was up 0.5 percent in the first half and was showing recovery, after falling 1.6 percent on Wednesday. But later it continued the negative trend and fell below yesterday’s low. Finally STI closed at 2822.61 with the loss of 8.54 points down by 0.30%.

STI for Tomorrow

STI is continuously beaching its support levels and giving closing below these levels. Technically, STI is falling below its 200DMA lying at 2835 and has given closing below it.

Also STI has formed a small hammer on candlestick pattern, as the closing point equals the day low; which indicates downfall may continue in short term.

In near term it is taking support of 2810 levels and may continue the rally till this level, also a fall below 2810 level, 2795 is a good technical support for STI.

Support for STI Tomorrow

STI having nearest support @ 2810 and below this level it can take support @ 2795 levels and 2755 is the major support level.

Resistance for STI Tomorrow

STI having Resistance @ 2836 and above this level it may take resistance from 2850-2885 levels.

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