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Friday, September 11, 2015

COMPANY OVERVIEW: CHINA AVIATION OIL(S) CORP LTD.

China Aviation Oil (Singapore) Corporation Ltd, an investment holding company, is involved in the trading of aviation oil and petroleum products. It operates in 3 segments: Middle Distillates, Other Oil Products, and Investments in Oil-Related Assets. The company is engaged in the supply and trading of jet fuel to the international airports in China, as well as does marketing and supplies aviation fuel to airline companies in Europe, North America, the Asia Pacific, and the Middle East. It also supplies and trades oil products, like gas oil, fuel oil and petrochemicals in the Asian Pacific market; and invests in oil-related assets. The company was incorporated in 1993 and is located in Singapore. It is a subsidiary of China National Aviation Fuel Group Corporation
FINANCIAL VIEW
  • The ratio of asset and liability is decreasing as y-o-y figures are considered.
  • The net income is continuously decreasing, as well as Gross Profit is also decreasing.
Return on Equity
7.861%
Net Asset Value
S$ 572.258
Market Cap
S$ 533.3mm
GROWTH OVER PRIOR YEAR (%)

FY2013
31Dec 13
FY2014
31Dec 14
LTM Ending
30 Jun 15
Revenue
15571.868
17061.031
13705.315
Gross Profit
52.491
27.397
16.246
Net Income
70.216
49.16
43.89
EBITDA
31.573
10.599
4.453
Total Assets
1721.398
1378.715
1365
Total Liabilities
1197.836
818.963
787.274

STOCKS TECHNICAL:

TECHNICAL INDICATORS:
Daily Chart : 
 It is forming a Bearish counter with major Downtrend, with some minor up trends in between, which is already been made, very recently.
SGX Symbol
G92
Currency
SGD
Last Done
0.590
Volume(‘000)
11
Day’s Range
0.590-0.590
52Weeks’ Range
0.50-0.90
Weekly Chart: 
  It again shows that the counter is a major downtrend counter with some minor uptrend candles, and the counter is in consolidation, which if broken downwards will lead to a new bearish trend. 
Weekly Chart
S1
S2
R1
R2
0.560
0.500
0.590
0.660
Our VIEW:
Overall Trend: Overall trend seems to be bearish in with some minor corrections, if any.
Short term View: Bearish below 0.560 , with resistance at 0.590.
Long term View: Bearish below 0.500 , with resistance at 0.560.

Wednesday, September 9, 2015

Innovalues Limited : Stock Specific Report

COMPANY OVERVIEW:
  • Innovalues Limited engages in the manufacture, assembly, and sub-assembly of precision turned machining parts, components, and electronic and mechanical devices worldwide. 
  • The company operates through three segments: Automotive, Office Automation, and Others. It provides precision components for office automation, including OA shafts and printer rollers; precision components for hard disk drives (HDD), such as HDD spindle flanges, HDD spindle motor hubs, and HDD pivot assembly shafts and sleeves; precision components for automotive, including mono-crystalline silicon strain gages and occupant weight sensors; and precision rubber products, such as rubber roller cots, textures or groove surface rollers, belts, and flippers.
  • The company also offers plating services comprising electroless nickel on steel parts, electroless nickel on aluminum parts, chrome free electro-zinc plating, zinc phosphating, and hard anodizing. It serves automotive, office automation, oil and gas, process, home appliances, and infrastructure industries.
  • The company has operations in Singapore, Thailand, Malaysia, the People's Republic of China, the United States, Mexico, and Brazil. Innovalues Limited was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Singapore.
Price/Book value
2.898
P/E Ratio
10.612
EV/EBITDA
7.08
5-Year Beta
0.716
Total Market Cap
S$ 222.30 MM
FINANCIAL VIEW
  • Revenue, Gross profit and Net profit are continuously increasing over the last 3 years.
  • Total assets, Cash flow from Operating activity is continuously increasing over the last 3 years.

Y2013
31Dec 13
FY2014
31Dec 14
LTM Ending
30 Jun 15
Revenue
99.327
108.468
115.667
Gross Profit
18.519
28.841
34.286
Operating Income
18.015
24.328
29.201
Net Income
8.676
15.811
28.812
Total Assets
83.879
95.333
102.04
Total Liabilities
26.972
24.67
25.32
STOCKS TECHNICAL:
Daily Chart
SGX Symbol
591
Currency
SGD
Last Done
0.670
Volume(‘000)
7253.5
Day’s Range
0.64 - 0.665
52 Weeks’ Range
0.28 - 0.94
Weekly Chart
S1
S2
R1
R2
0.630
0.605
0.700
0.740

TECHNICAL INDICATORS:
Daily Chart: RSI is near the center line indicating bullishness and is at 42.691 and CCI is below the signal line at -34.603. MACD is at -0.037 above its signal line i.e, -0.041.
Weekly Chart: RSI is near the center line indicating bullishness and is at 43.789 and CCI is below the signal line at -130.476. MACD is at 0.010 above its signal line i.e, 0.045.
Our VIEW:
Innovalue is technically very sound. RSI is indicating bullish trend in near future. Bulluish trend is also supported by MACD in daily and weekly chart as faster MACD is above slower MACD indicating bullishness. It is expected to continue its bullish trend..If it breaks the resistance of 0.700 it is expected to rise up till 0.740/0.795 in short period.
Overall Trend: It is consolidating in both weekly and daily chart.
Short term View: BULLISH with support @0.630 TARGET 0.700
Long term View: BULLISH with support @0.605 TARGET 0.740
If traded on proper support and resistance for a day or so we can take out good profit in the contra holding also.

Saturday, September 5, 2015

COMPANY OVERVIEW: Halcyon Agri Corporation Limited

  • Halcyon Agri Corporation Limited, an investment holding company, originates, produces, and distributes natural rubber products worldwide.
  • The company operates through Plantation, Processing, and Distribution segments. It produces technically specified rubber and compound rubber; and constant viscosity rubber products in Indonesia and Malaysia, as well as owns, develops, and manages rubber estate land in Kelantan, Malaysia.
  • The company offers its natural rubber primarily under the HeveaPRO brand; and procures other origins and grades of rubber from third party producers worldwide.
  • It distributes its products to an international customer base through a network of warehouses and sales offices in South East Asia, China, the United States, and Europe.
  • The company serves tire producers. Halcyon Agri Corporation Limited was founded in 1934 and is headquartered in Singapore.
Price/Book value 2.40
EV/EBITDA 23.59
5-Year Beta 1.02
Total Market Cap S$ 240 MM

FINANCIAL VIEW
  • Revenue & Gross profit are continuously increasing over the last 3 years.
  • Total assets is continuously increasing over the last 3 years.


FY2013
31Dec 13
FY2014
31Dec 14
LTM Ending
30 Jun 15
Revenue 204.97 479.247 907.964
Gross Profit 204.97 479.247 907.964
Operating Income 11.718 4.129 -10.453
Net Income 9.093 -9.429 -5.935
Total Assets 107.851 640.987 683.541
Total Liabilities 27.579 480.456 537.889

STOCKS TECHNICAL:
Daily Chart
SGX Symbol 5VJ Currency SGD
Last Done 0.580 Volume(‘000) 1099. M
Day’s Range 0.565 - 0.590 52 Weeks’ Range 0.425 - 0.86
Weekly Chart
S1 S2 R1 R2
0.560 0.510 0.610 0.660
TECHNICAL INDICATORS:
Daily Chart: RSI is above the center line indicating bullishness and is at 59.831 and CCI is above the signal line at 117.033. MACD is at -0.004 above its signal line i.e, -0.019.
Weekly Chart: RSI is near the center line indicating bullishness in near future and is at 45.322and CCI is below the signal line at -75.535.
Our VIEW:
Halcyon Agri is technically very sound. RSI is indicating bullish trend in near future. Bulluish trend is also supported by MACD and CCI, as CCI price line is above signal line and faster MACD is above slower MACD. It is expected to continue its bullish trend.. If it breaks the resistance of 0.610, it is expected to rise up till 0.660 in short perioed.
Overall Trend: It is following uptrend in both weekly and daily chart.
Short term View: BULLISH with support @0.560 TARGET 0.660
Long term View: BULLISH with support @0.510 TARGET 0.700
If traded on proper support and resistance for a day or so we can take out good profit in the contra holding also.

STI Weekly Technical Analysis & Market Forecast for Week Ahead

Weekly wrap of STI: Straits Times Index (STI) opened at 2987.18 i.e., 31.24 or 1.05 % lowerand ended 92.13 points or 3.11% lower to 2863.81 this week. STI came off from its weekly peak of 28987.18 and low of 2860.00.
Singapore shares eased by one per cent on Friday, with STI down 29.17 points to 2,877.26 on early profit-taking and closed at 2863.81. Singapore market posted losses at midday. Market breadth remained negative. STI came off from its daily peak of 2893.12 and low of 2893.12. 
STRAIT TIMES WEEKLY WRAP
OPEN
2987.18
HIGH
2987.18
LOW
2860
CLOSE
2863.81
CHANGE (In Points)
-92.13
% CHANGE
-3.11%
 Companies in Singapore are positive about their six-month business and trade outlook, with client acquisition and international expansion being key drivers of growth. Despite their long term focus on international opportunities, Singapore companies are currently more bullish on achieving growth domestically.
Singapore's Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) slipped further into contraction mode in August, dipping 0.4 point to 49.3, though the drop was not unexpected. Private-sector economists had earlier projected a reading of 49.4, down from July's 49.7. A reading above 50 represents growth, while one under 50 points to a contraction in the manufacturing sector.
Market Forecast for week ahead:
STI showed bearish sentiment this weak. STI has broken its support of 2870. It has its support at 3840, if it breaks this level it may fall till 2800. MACD shows a postive moment next week as faster moving average curve has crossed slower moving average curve. However, US monthly job data to be released on Friday evening will impact market next week.
Weekly Technical view on STI 
Sup 1
Sup 2
Sup3
Res 1
Res 2
Res 3
2852
2805
2760
3000
3050
3116
Technical Indicators:
RSI for this week is 20.471 with CCI at -192.043. Besides, difference line of MACD -106.253 and crossed its signal line -53.269.
STI COUNTER SPECIFIC NEWS
  • Del Monte squeezes Q1 loss to US$12m.
  • Sunlight Group was not going through with the acquisition of Alexander Resource Ltd (has become "technically insolvent").
  • Singpost completed the acquisition of local self-storage facility operator Store Friendly Self Storage Group for S$12 million.
  • Stats Chip outlook is now revised to negative; 'BB' rating is affirmed.
  • CapitaLand's Ascott wins four contracts in Asia.
GLOBAL FACTORS & WORLD INDICES:
  • Hong Kong shares ended 0.45 per cent lower on Friday, bringing an end to another painful week for the Hang Seng Index, owing to ongoing concerns about the Chinese economy.
  • AUTHORITIES in Singapore, Malaysia and Thailand have published a handbook to guide companies that hope to offer securities across borders through a streamlined review framework.
  • UOL Group, Yangzijiang Shipbuilding and SATS will replace Jardine Matheson, Jardine Strategic and Olam International as constituents of the Straits Times Index (STI). This comes after the conclusion of the semi-annual review.
  • Japanese stocks slipped to seven-month lows, with the Nikkei posting its biggest weekly fall in almost a year and a half with speculators dumping futures while investors stayed risk-averse ahead of the release of a key U.S. jobs report later in the day.
  • Swiss consumer prices fell in August by the most in 56 years, the strongest indication yet of the pricing pressure from Switzerland's strong currency and low oil prices.
  • Malaysia saw exports in July increase 3.5 per cent from a year earlier as demand for electrical and electronic goods surged, government data showed on Friday.
  • Andy Hall, one of the best-known oil traders who's bullish on prices, said the decline in the oil market isn't a repeat of 1998 or 2008. The absence of "extreme contango," which occurs when commodities prices close to delivery are cheaper than those to be delivered at later dates, suggests that "the world, whilst moderately oversupplied, is not awash in oil.
  • Gold held declines from a two-day losing streak on Friday, ahead of a crucial US jobs report as traders waited for clues about the timing of a Federal Reserve rate hike.
  • Oil prices eased in Asian trade on Friday as investors turned cautious ahead of US jobs data later in the day that is expected to play into the Federal Reserve's decision on the timing of any US rate hike.

Wednesday, September 2, 2015

STI Technical Analysis & Singapore Stock Market Forecast for 3 Sept

  Straits Times Index trades 0.2% higher at 2,887.04 in early trade, and ended 4.60 points or 0.16 % lower to 2878.10. STI came off from its intra-day peak of 2906.67 and low of 2877.49.
STI moved in tandem with the US futures market as traders tried to anticipate how Wall Street might perform during its Wednesday session. 
STI Day Performance
Open: 2897.76
High: 2906.67
Low: 2877.49
Close: 2878.10
Change(Points): -4.6
% Change: -0.16%
Volume: 1103.60 M
Rise: 163
Fall: 197
Unch: 431
LOCAL BOURSE
The first Singapore Savings Bond (SSB) will be issued on Oct 1, with those holding the bonds for the full 10 years earning an average interest rates per annum of 2.63%, according to the Monetary Authority of Singapore.
For those who redeem the bonds at an earlier date, the average return per year will range from 0.96% at the end of the first year to 2.53% at the end of year nine. Those who hold the bonds for five years will earn an average of 2.01% per annum.
STI LEVELS
Support 1
2840
Support 2
2805
Support 3
2765
Resistance 1
2930
Resistance 2
2986
Resistance 3
3029
Market forecast:
STI is expected to take side ways trend. Its support level is at 2840. if breaks this level it is expected to go up to level of 2800, it has its resistance at 2930. Market sentiment still is bearish due slow down of China’s economy as the manufacturing data is lower than expected.
STI COUNTER SPECIFIC NEWS
  • CapitaLand is flat trading at $2.80 after announcing that its serviced residence unit, The Ascott, has won new contracts to manage over 850 units in four growing Asian markets.
  • OCBC Investment Research says macro headwinds and tough conditions in the retail business lead it to maintain a neutral rating on the consumer sector.
  • Shares in Chinese Global Investors by rose as much as 16% early on Wednesday, a day after the firm said it was selling its wholly owned subsidiary, Hitchins International, for $3.28 million to the current management of the unit.
  • Singapore's telecommunications sector is set for disruption, making it a risky one to be in at this juncture. The bank reviews recent news in the sector which it says points to the risk of increased competition that - albeit minor at this stage - could pose risks to incumbents.
GLOBAL FACTORS AND WORLD INDICES:
  • Asian stocks witnessed a fresh round of volatility on Wednesday, as further evidence of slowing growth in China's economy brought a new bout of uncertainty to global markets.
  • The Indian economy is still expected to grow around eight per cent in the fiscal year to March 2016, said the chief economic adviser at the finance ministry on Tuesday.
  • Malaysia's ringgit fell the most in more than a week and bonds dropped as a slump in Brent crude prices clouds the outlook for government finances in the oil-exporting nation.. Brent decreased 1.9 per cent after falling 8.5 per cent on Tuesday in its biggest decline since 2011 before US stockpiles data.
  • Hong Kong stocks sank 1.18 per cent by the end of a roller-coaster session Wednesday with traders gripped by ongoing concerns about China's economic crisis that has rattled world markets. The benchmark Hang Seng Index fell 250.49 points to close at 20,934.94 on turnover of HK$96.05 billion (S$17.52 billion).
  • SINGAPORE shares rose by a modest 0.4 per cent, with the Straits Times Index up 11.15 points to 2,893.92 following a weak opening in Japan.
  • Oil prices fell around 2 per cent in Asian trade on Wednesday, as a stronger-than-expected build in US crude oil stocks and weaker US manufacturing data fuelled a rout in prices that started in the previous session..
  • World oil prices tumbled on Tuesday as poor manufacturing data in China, the world's largest energy consumer, hammered the outlook for demand and shook market confidence.
  • Gold edged lower on Wednesday with appetite for the metal soured by a firmer dollar despite weaker Asian equities, and failure to breach a key resistance and a looming US rate hike suggest more downside risk.

 
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