EUR/USD
The EUR/USD
pair had a positive session on Friday, breaking the top of the hammer
for the Thursday session which of course is a strong buy signal.
However, there is a significant amount of resistance just above going
all the way to the 1.37 level at the very least, and as a result we are
very hesitant to start buying now. We believe that ultimately this
market should continue to stay in the consolidation area that we have
been in for some time, thereby making it a very difficult market to get
overly excited about. We are on the sidelines.
USD/JPY
USD/JPY
The USD/JPY
pair fell during the course of the session on Friday, closing just
below the 101.50 level. With that, it appears that the market is
probably going to test the support area just below, and we will be
looking for some type of supportive candle in order to go along for the
short-term trade. We don’t think of that the market will break down
here, simply because we have been so sideways for so long. Until we are
told otherwise, we have to believe that this market simply stays in this
consolidation area.
GBP/USD
GBP/USD
The GBP/USD
pair went back and forth on Friday, essentially going nowhere. However,
the one thing that he did do was show the 1.70 level to be supportive
yet again, and with that we believe that this market is in fact trying
to wind itself up in order to make a move higher. That move higher
should get us to the 1.75 level given enough time, thereby creating a
market that can be bought on dips going forward. We have absolutely no
interest in selling this pair, and we believe that there is a
significant amount of support down at the 1.69 handle.
AUD/USD
AUD/USD
The AUD/USD
pair tried to rally during the session on Friday but gave back up most
of the gains. With that, the market tested the 0.9450 level, an area
that has been very resistant risk lately. Because of this, we feel that
the market will more than likely continue to pull back time and time
again until we finally can build up enough momentum to break out above
the massive resistance. We believe that the resistance goes all the way
to the 0.95 handle, so we are not buyers until we break that level or if
we get some type of supportive candle below.
Currency Data for 30 June
Currency Data for 30 June
Time | Currency | Impact | Detail | Forecast | Previous |
4:15am | NZD | Building Consents m/m | 1.50% | ||
5:20am | JPY | Prelim Industrial Production m/m | 0.90% | -2.80% | |
6:00am | AUD | MI Inflation Gauge m/m | 0.30% | ||
6:30am | NZD | High | ANZ Business Confidence | 53.5 | |
Tentative | AUD | HIA New Home Sales m/m | 2.90% | ||
7:00am | AUD | Private Sector Credit m/m | 0.40% | 0.50% | |
10:30am | JPY | Housing Starts y/y | -10.10% | -3.30% | |
11:30am | EUR | German Retail Sales m/m | 0.80% | -0.90% | |
1:30pm | EUR | M3 Money Supply y/y | 0.70% | 0.80% | |
EUR | Private Loans y/y | -1.70% | -1.80% | ||
2:00pm | GBP | Net Lending to Individuals m/m | 2.5B | 2.4B | |
GBP | M4 Money Supply m/m | 0.20% | -0.20% | ||
GBP | Mortgage Approvals | 62K | 63K | ||
2:30pm | EUR | High | CPI Flash Estimate y/y | 0.60% | 0.50% |
EUR | Core CPI Flash Estimate y/y | 0.70% | 0.70% | ||
EUR | Italian Prelim CPI m/m | 0.20% | -0.10% | ||
6:00pm | CAD | High | GDP m/m | 0.20% | 0.10% |
7:15pm | USD | Chicago PMI | 63.2 | 65.5 | |
7:30pm | USD | High | Pending Home Sales m/m | 1.40% | 0.40% |